Today is big crunch time for working on our weather tactics. Here is a summary of what we know and our competitor probably knows too.
There is a possibility that a tropical disturbance may be headed our way from Mexico, two days into the race. That’s what the forecasts say. It could be a hurricane, or just a little more wind. Models are not very good at forecasting tropical depressions. Maybe it will fizzle out. Its the kind of situation that if the winds are manageable we may actually head South a bit to catch some of them in order to go faster, trading distance sailed for boat speed. We’ll have to watch this one closely.
This morning, the dual High pressure is still elongated around 40-41 North, 40-152 West and its central part has strengthened to more than 1030 millibars. That should make for a quick race if it holds up and the double system continues consolidating into one stronger system forecasted to gain force to around 1034 milibars.
For the start, we should se a South Westerly sea-breeze flow of 6-12 knots (probably kicking in between around noon) and clocking all afternoon while building a bit of strength.
Our game plan is going to be to get into the strong offshore winds as soon as we can by sailing a Great Circle route while staying of the Islands in order to avoid their wind shadows.
Then we’ll have to see how the different systems evolve. That’s a nice forecast and could make for a record breaking year. But its too early to tell yet.
Food while sailing, is really important. But perhaps most important, is a great last meal before a long offshore passage. It’s not just the food, but getting the whole team to gel. It’s discussing the last details. What positions will we have at the start and what will we all do. Nice company!
While we were having dinner, my assistant Faye Kong and some of our software engineering team are busy putting the last high-tech touches to our weather crunching systems on-board Pegasus 77. We have four networked laptops and we constantly receive satellite-based weather information. We now have developed a sophisticated way to gather, organize and analyze some of that weather. And like every high-tech project, if it wasn’t for the last minute, nothing would ever get done!
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